Water Ravishing MillTier 2
at Road to Ascent Baguio Leg
decks
1
(3.4% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
5
2-0-3
overall winrate
70.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
51.9%
avg ELO +1.1 per match
expected value
54.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
50.6%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1241
· median 1241
· range 1241–1241
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1079
Q1 1175
Q3 1287
1421
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slimes | 10.3% | 2 | 0-0-2 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.8% | -0.2 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 10.3% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.9% | -0.1 |
| Fire Aggro | 6.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.9% | +3.0 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 6.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suited | 6.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Aetherwing | 6.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 6.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.8% | +2.9 |
| Fire Diao Chan | 3.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 3.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 3.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Oblation | 3.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Seiryuu | 3.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 3.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ciel | 3.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Oblation | 3.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Mage | 3.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 3.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Lorraine | 3.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 3.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 3.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Water Ravishing Mill decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
